Security Bank’s investment group sees potential for consumption rebound post COVID-19

Security Bank’s Trust Asset Management Group sees strong potential for the economy to bounce back from the negative effects of COVID-19 after the Philippines noted a -16.5% GDP in Q2 2020, the worst GDP in Philippine history since the Asian Financial crisis in 1997.

“During the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis and the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, inflation played a large part into the crash that ultimately bled into consumption. However, for COVID-19, it was the decline in consumption and business closures, because of lockdowns that bled into the financial system which in return led us to negative GDP growth territory,” Noel Reyes, Chief Investment Officer at Security Bank’s Trust and Asset Management Group said.

Since the lockdown was imposed in mid-March, the economy has been hit with high investor uncertainty causing a significant drop in the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi) during the early parts of the quarantine. Despite this, the Peso has become Asia’s best performer with at least 4% growth against the US Dollar.

In a webinar held recently for its Wealth Management and Trust clients, the group shared a 7.7% year end GDP forecast for the economy. This can be attributed to the fact that most Filipinos will continue to stay at home, only spend on essentials, and still refrain from purchasing non-essential items.

Despite this, the Trust Group’s fund managers remain very optimistic that the country’s GDP will still settle at 3.5% year-on-year growth by 2021 due to base effects and the GDP returning to pre-COVID figures at 6% by 2023.

“The good liquidity brought by the forceful response of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas and low interest rates put the country in a good position for consumption rebound,” said Reyes.

Echoing the group’s economic view, Security Bank’s President and CEO Sanjiv Vohra said in an interview that consumer confidence can be seen returning once a vaccine or cure that could end the pandemic is found.

“It’s a delicate balancing act for sure, and the key will be to strengthen our public health so that we make sure that our workforce and thereby our economy will remain productive, and business and consumer confidence returns. Locally, we have low-interest rates and good liquidity. We also have a forceful BSP response, resilient currency, and a strong potential for economic and consumption rebound,” said Vohra.

Search

AllHome - Agro
AllHome - Antipolo
AllHome - Bacolod
AllHome - Bataan
AllHome - Butuan
AllHome - Cabanatuan
AllHome - Cauayan
AllHome - CDO
AllHome - Cebu
AllHome - Dasmariñas
AllHome - Evia
AllHome - Gapan
AllHome - General Santos
AllHome - General Trias
AllHome - Global South
AllHome - Iloilo
AllHome - Imus
AllHome - Kawit
AllHome - Koronadal
AllHome - Las Piñas
AllHome - Libis
AllHome - Malolos
AllHome - Mintal
AllHome - Naga
AllHome - North Molino
AllHome - Pampanga
AllHome - QC
AllHome - QuickFix Camella East
AllHome - QuickFix Farm
AllHome - QuickFix M1 Annex
AllHome - QuickFix Masibay
AllHome - QuickFix Springville
AllHome - QuickFix Symphony
AllHome - QuickFix Venezia
AllHome - Salawag
AllHome - San Ildefonso
AllHome - Santiago
AllHome - Shaw
AllHome - Silang
AllHome - SJDM
AllHome - South Molino
AllHome - Sta. Maria
AllHome - Sta. Rosa
AllHome - Sto. Tomas
AllHome - Taguig
AllHome - Tanza
AllHome - WCC
AllHome - QuickFix Citta Italia

  • Aerophone - Ayala Center Cebu
  • Aerophone - Cybertech Quezon City
  • Aerophone - SM Cebu
  • Aerophone - SM Manila
  • Aerophone - SM San Lazaro

This will close in 0 seconds

  • CYA Industries Inc - Bacolod
  • CYA Industries Inc - CDO
  • CYA Industries Inc - Cebu
  • CYA Industries Inc Showroom - Shangrila
  • My Homedepot - Baliuag Tangos
  • My Homedepot - Alabang Zapote
  • My Homedepot - Angono
  • My Homedepot - Barrera
  • My Homedepot - Batangas
  • My Homedepot - Cabanatuan
  • My Homedepot - Calapan
  • My Homedepot - Caloocan
  • My Homedepot - Candelaria
  • My Homedepot - Candon
  • My Homedepot - Daet
  • My Homedepot - Dasma
  • My Homedepot - Fairview
  • My Homedepot - Guagua
  • My Homedepot - Gumaca
  • My Homedepot - Iba
  • My Homedepot - Imus
  • My Homedepot - Los Banos
  • My Homedepot - Malasiqui
  • My Homedepot - Marikina
  • My Homedepot - Mayapyap
  • My Homedepot - Nayon Nova
  • My Homedepot - Niog 3
  • My Homedepot - Novaliches
  • My Homedepot - Pasong Putik
  • My Homedepot - Olongapo
  • My Homedepot - Palanginan
  • My Homedepot - Pilar
  • My Homedepot - Paranaque
  • My Homedepot - Pulilan
  • My Homedepot - Roxas
  • My Homedepot - San Jose
  • My Homedepot - San Marcelino
  • My Homedepot - San Rafael
  • My Homedepot - Santiago
  • My Homedepot - Silang
  • My Homedepot - Sorsogon
  • My Homedepot - Sta Cruz
  • My Homedepot - Tarlac
  • My Homedepot - Taytay
  • My Homedepot - Urdaneta

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Petbuddy Antipolo
  • Petbuddy Bataan
  • Petbuddy Dasmariñas
  • Petbuddy Evia
  • Petbuddy Malolos
  • Petbuddy North Molino
  • Petbuddy South Molino
  • Petbuddy Springville
  • Petbuddy Sta. Rosa
  • Petbuddy Taguig

This will close in 3 seconds

  • Allbikes Evia
  • Allbikes Sta Rosa

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Allsports Bataan
  • Allsports Evia
  • Allsports Malolos
  • Allsports Nomo
  • Allsports Sjdm
  • Allsports Taguig
  • Alltoys Bataan
  • Alltoys Evia
  • Alltoys Malolos
  • Alltoys Nomo
  • Alltoys Sta. Rosa
  • Alltoys Taguig

This will close in 1 seconds

  • Finds - Bataan
  • Finds - Dasmarinas
  • Finds - General Trias
  • Finds - Iloilo
  • Finds - Las Pinas
  • Finds - Malolos
  • Finds - Naga
  • Finds - NOMO
  • Finds - Shaw Blvd.
  • Finds - SJDM
  • Finds - Sta.Rosa
  • Finds - Taguig

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Market Liberty - Evia

This will close in 0 seconds

  • No Name - Bataan
  • No Name - Dasmarinas
  • No Name - Pampanga
  • No Name - Sta. Rosa

This will close in 0 seconds

  • The Athlete'S Foot - Bataan
  • The Athlete'S Foot - Evia
  • The Athlete'S Foot - Sta Rosa

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Pull And Bear - Cebu
  • Pull And Bear - SM Megamall
  • Pull And Bear - Trinoma

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Zara - Cebu
  • Zara - Glorietta
  • Zara - Greenbelt
  • Zara - SM Megamall
  • Zara - SM Mall of Asia
  • Zara - ONE BHS, BGC
  • Zara - Rockwell
  • Zara - Shangrila
  • Zara - Trinoma

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Massimo Dutti - Greenbelt 5
  • Massimo Dutti - Rockwell

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Bershka - Cebu
  • Bershka - Glorietta
  • Bershka - Megamall
  • Bershka - Mall of Asia
  • Bershka - Shangrila

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Stradivarius - SM Aura
  • Stradivarius - Glorietta
  • Stradivarius - Megamall
  • Stradivarius - Shangrila

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Mandaue Foam - Butuan
  • Mandaue Foam - Cebu
  • Mandaue Foam - Banilad
  • Mandaue Foam - Bohol
  • Mandaue Foam - Cebu
  • Mandaue Foam - Quimpo
  • Mandaue Foam - Shaw Blvd.
  • Mandaue Foam - (Philfoam) Cainta, Rizal
  • Mandaue Foam - (Philfoam) Las Pinas
  • Mandaue Foam - (Philfoam) Lipa, Batangas
  • Mandaue Foam - (Philfoam) Quezon Avenue

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Our Builders Warehouse - Bocaue
  • Our Builders Warehouse - Guiguinto
  • Our Builders Warehouse - Mabalacat
  • Our Builders Warehouse - Malolos
  • Our Builders Warehouse - Tagaytay
  • Our Builders Warehouse - Dasmarinas

This will close in 0 seconds

  • 158 Designers Blvd - Pasay

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Anne Klein - Rockwell

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Armani Exchange - Rockwell

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Bobbi Brown - SM Mall of Asia

This will close in 0 seconds

  • Charriol - Rockwell
  • Charriol - Pasay

This will close in 0 seconds